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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

18:00

Venue

Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

Competition

Primeira Liga

Portugal

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estoril Win

13%

AVS

7.75

16%

Draw

6.31

71%

Estoril

1.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

8.4%

Away win

1 – 3

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

AVS xG

Total xG

3.75

2.67

Estoril xG

13%
16%
71%
AVSDrawEstoril

7.75

13%

Home win

6.31

16%

Draw

1.40

71%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.63

39%

BTTS No

2.59

Clean Sheet

7%

AVS

14.51

34%

Estoril

2.94

Win to Nil

1%

AVS

112.41

24%

Estoril

4.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 6.3 8.4 7.5 5.0 2.7
1 2.5 6.8 9.0 8.1 5.4 2.9
2 1.4 3.6 4.9 4.3 2.9 1.6
3 0.5 1.3 1.8 1.6 1.0 0.6
4 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.078
λ Away (xG) 2.675
Total xG 3.753
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.242
AVS attack strength 0.621
AVS defence strength 1.437
Estoril attack strength 1.498
Estoril defence strength 1.123
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55