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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Benfica Win
21%
4.73
24%
4.14
55%
1.83
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.7%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.0%
Away win
1 – 2
9.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.07
Arouca xG
Total xG
2.91
1.84
Benfica xG
AroucaDrawBenfica
4.73
21%
Home win
4.14
24%
Draw
1.83
55%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
33%
Over 3.5
3.03
67%
Under 3.5
1.49
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.79
44%
BTTS No
2.27
Clean Sheet
16%
6.31
34%
2.92
Win to Nil
3%
29.82
19%
5.34
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 10.0 | 9.2 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 5.8 | 10.7 | 9.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.071
λ Away (xG)
1.842
Total xG
2.913
League avg home goals
1.497
League avg away goals
1.186
Arouca attack strength
1.066
Arouca defence strength
1.195
Benfica attack strength
1.300
Benfica defence strength
0.671
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
59 / 59