Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

16:30

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

50%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.00

28%

Draw

3.53

22%

Radomiak Radom

4.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.42

0.91

Radomiak Radom xG

50%
28%
22%
Zaglebie LubinDrawRadomiak Radom

2.00

50%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

4.62

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

40%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.49

22%

Radomiak Radom

4.51

Win to Nil

20%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.97

5%

Radomiak Radom

20.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 8.1 3.7 1.1 0.3
1 13.4 12.2 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.2 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.1 4.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 1.9 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.507
λ Away (xG) 0.911
Total xG 2.418
League avg home goals 1.437
League avg away goals 1.066
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.915
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.877
Radomiak Radom attack strength 0.974
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.147
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61