Fixture360 logo BETA
Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 15 May 2026

17:00

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

38%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.64

34%

Draw

2.94

28%

Pogon Szczecin

3.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.09

0.95

Pogon Szczecin xG

38%
34%
28%
Zaglebie LubinDrawPogon Szczecin

2.64

38%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

3.55

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

39%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.59

32%

Pogon Szczecin

3.13

Win to Nil

15%

Zaglebie Lubin

6.85

9%

Pogon Szczecin

11.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 11.8 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 14.1 13.4 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.0 7.6 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.0 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.140
λ Away (xG) 0.952
Total xG 2.092
League avg home goals 1.387
League avg away goals 1.101
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.781
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.856
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.010
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.053
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66