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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

13:45

Venue

KGHM Zaglebie Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Zaglebie Lubin Win

49%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.03

30%

Draw

3.34

21%

Cracovia Krakow

4.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Zaglebie Lubin xG

Total xG

2.15

0.79

Cracovia Krakow xG

49%
30%
21%
Zaglebie LubinDrawCracovia Krakow

2.03

49%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

4.81

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

45%

Zaglebie Lubin

2.20

26%

Cracovia Krakow

3.89

Win to Nil

22%

Zaglebie Lubin

4.48

5%

Cracovia Krakow

18.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 9.2 3.6 1.0 0.2
1 15.9 12.5 4.9 1.3 0.3
2 10.8 8.5 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 4.9 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.358
λ Away (xG) 0.790
Total xG 2.148
League avg home goals 1.451
League avg away goals 1.116
Zaglebie Lubin attack strength 0.840
Zaglebie Lubin defence strength 0.897
Cracovia Krakow attack strength 0.789
Cracovia Krakow defence strength 1.115
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64