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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Mon 4 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Stadion im. Braci Czachorów

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Radomiak Radom Win

46%

Radomiak Radom

2.18

27%

Draw

3.71

27%

Lechia Gdansk

3.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Radomiak Radom xG

Total xG

2.81

1.20

Lechia Gdansk xG

46%
27%
27%
Radomiak RadomDrawLechia Gdansk

2.18

46%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

3.69

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

30%

Radomiak Radom

3.31

20%

Lechia Gdansk

5.03

Win to Nil

14%

Radomiak Radom

7.20

5%

Lechia Gdansk

18.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 7.2 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.7 11.6 6.9 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.4 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 4.2 5.1 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.615
λ Away (xG) 1.196
Total xG 2.811
League avg home goals 1.453
League avg away goals 1.098
Radomiak Radom attack strength 0.989
Radomiak Radom defence strength 0.984
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.107
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.124
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64