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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 16 May 2026

19:15

Venue

Stadion im. Braci Czachorów

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Radomiak Radom Win

35%

Radomiak Radom

2.89

32%

Draw

3.09

33%

Lech Poznan

3.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Radomiak Radom xG

Total xG

2.13

1.05

Lech Poznan xG

35%
32%
33%
Radomiak RadomDrawLech Poznan

2.89

35%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

3.03

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

35%

Radomiak Radom

2.86

34%

Lech Poznan

2.95

Win to Nil

12%

Radomiak Radom

8.28

11%

Lech Poznan

8.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 12.5 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.8 13.5 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 6.9 7.3 3.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 2.5 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.082
λ Away (xG) 1.052
Total xG 2.134
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.113
Radomiak Radom attack strength 1.107
Radomiak Radom defence strength 0.966
Lech Poznan attack strength 0.979
Lech Poznan defence strength 0.706
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66