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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Thu 5 Mar 2026

19:30

Venue

Stadion im. Braci Czachorów

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Radomiak Radom Win

70%

Radomiak Radom

1.42

20%

Draw

4.90

9%

Arka Gdynia

10.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

3 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.14

Radomiak Radom xG

Total xG

2.80

0.66

Arka Gdynia xG

70%
20%
Radomiak RadomDrawArka Gdynia

1.42

70%

Home win

4.90

20%

Draw

10.98

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

52%

Radomiak Radom

1.93

12%

Arka Gdynia

8.47

Win to Nil

36%

Radomiak Radom

2.75

1%

Arka Gdynia

93.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 4.0 1.3 0.3
1 13.0 8.6 2.8 0.6 0.1
2 13.9 9.2 3.0 0.7 0.1
3 9.9 6.5 2.2 0.5 0.1
4 5.3 3.5 1.2 0.3
5 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.137
λ Away (xG) 0.660
Total xG 2.797
League avg home goals 1.426
League avg away goals 1.169
Radomiak Radom attack strength 1.120
Radomiak Radom defence strength 0.980
Arka Gdynia attack strength 0.576
Arka Gdynia defence strength 1.338
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 22