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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Mon 6 Apr 2026

16:30

Venue

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pogon Szczecin Win

48%

Pogon Szczecin

2.09

28%

Draw

3.63

25%

Legia Warszawa

4.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Pogon Szczecin xG

Total xG

2.76

1.12

Legia Warszawa xG

48%
28%
25%
Pogon SzczecinDrawLegia Warszawa

2.09

48%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

4.08

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

33%

Pogon Szczecin

3.07

19%

Legia Warszawa

5.16

Win to Nil

16%

Pogon Szczecin

6.41

5%

Legia Warszawa

21.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.1 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.4 11.6 6.5 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.5 9.5 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.6 5.2 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.641
λ Away (xG) 1.122
Total xG 2.763
League avg home goals 1.424
League avg away goals 1.084
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 1.088
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 0.960
Legia Warszawa attack strength 1.078
Legia Warszawa defence strength 1.059
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60