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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Mon 13 Apr 2026

18:00

Venue

Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Piast Gliwice Win

46%

Piast Gliwice

2.16

29%

Draw

3.43

25%

Pogon Szczecin

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Piast Gliwice xG

Total xG

2.43

0.99

Pogon Szczecin xG

46%
29%
25%
Piast GliwiceDrawPogon Szczecin

2.16

46%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

37%

Piast Gliwice

2.69

24%

Pogon Szczecin

4.24

Win to Nil

17%

Piast Gliwice

5.82

6%

Pogon Szczecin

17.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 8.7 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 12.7 12.5 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 9.1 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.4 4.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.444
λ Away (xG) 0.990
Total xG 2.434
League avg home goals 1.436
League avg away goals 1.086
Piast Gliwice attack strength 0.976
Piast Gliwice defence strength 1.069
Pogon Szczecin attack strength 0.853
Pogon Szczecin defence strength 1.031
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61