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Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

11:15

Venue

Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Radomiak Radom Win

29%

Nieciecza

3.43

29%

Draw

3.50

42%

Radomiak Radom

2.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Nieciecza xG

Total xG

2.60

1.44

Radomiak Radom xG

29%
29%
42%
NiecieczaDrawRadomiak Radom

3.43

29%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

2.37

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.87

46%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

24%

Nieciecza

4.21

31%

Radomiak Radom

3.18

Win to Nil

7%

Nieciecza

14.45

13%

Radomiak Radom

7.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 10.7 7.7 3.7 1.3 0.4
1 8.6 12.4 8.9 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 5.0 7.2 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 1.9 2.8 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.158
λ Away (xG) 1.438
Total xG 2.596
League avg home goals 1.396
League avg away goals 1.155
Nieciecza attack strength 0.774
Nieciecza defence strength 1.255
Radomiak Radom attack strength 0.992
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.072
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 55