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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Mon 6 Apr 2026

19:15

Venue

Polsat Plus Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lechia Gdansk Win

47%

Lechia Gdansk

2.11

27%

Draw

3.74

26%

Korona Kielce

3.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Lechia Gdansk xG

Total xG

2.91

1.21

Korona Kielce xG

47%
27%
26%
Lechia GdanskDrawKorona Kielce

2.11

47%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.87

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

30%

Lechia Gdansk

3.36

18%

Korona Kielce

5.48

Win to Nil

14%

Lechia Gdansk

7.07

5%

Korona Kielce

21.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 6.6 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 9.2 11.2 6.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.5 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.5 5.4 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.701
λ Away (xG) 1.211
Total xG 2.912
League avg home goals 1.409
League avg away goals 1.093
Lechia Gdansk attack strength 1.268
Lechia Gdansk defence strength 1.084
Korona Kielce attack strength 1.022
Korona Kielce defence strength 0.952
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60