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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

13:45

Venue

Chorten Arena

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jagiellonia Win

63%

Jagiellonia

1.59

20%

Draw

4.90

17%

Radomiak Radom

5.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.3%

Home win

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.34

Jagiellonia xG

Total xG

3.50

1.16

Radomiak Radom xG

63%
20%
17%
JagielloniaDrawRadomiak Radom

1.59

63%

Home win

4.90

20%

Draw

5.99

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.69

Clean Sheet

31%

Jagiellonia

3.19

10%

Radomiak Radom

10.40

Win to Nil

20%

Jagiellonia

5.07

2%

Radomiak Radom

62.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
1 7.1 8.2 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 8.3 9.6 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 6.5 7.5 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.8 4.4 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.342
λ Away (xG) 1.159
Total xG 3.501
League avg home goals 1.410
League avg away goals 1.144
Jagiellonia attack strength 1.426
Jagiellonia defence strength 1.011
Radomiak Radom attack strength 1.002
Radomiak Radom defence strength 1.165
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54