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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ekstraklasa · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

16:30

Venue

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Poland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gornik Zabrze Win

40%

Gornik Zabrze

2.53

28%

Draw

3.61

33%

Raków Częstochowa

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Gornik Zabrze xG

Total xG

2.82

1.34

Raków Częstochowa xG

40%
28%
33%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawRaków Częstochowa

2.53

40%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

26%

Gornik Zabrze

3.80

23%

Raków Częstochowa

4.42

Win to Nil

10%

Gornik Zabrze

9.62

7%

Raków Częstochowa

13.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 7.9 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 8.8 11.8 7.9 3.5 1.2 0.3
2 6.6 8.8 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.3 4.3 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.486
λ Away (xG) 1.336
Total xG 2.822
League avg home goals 1.373
League avg away goals 1.165
Gornik Zabrze attack strength 0.979
Gornik Zabrze defence strength 0.957
Raków Częstochowa attack strength 1.198
Raków Częstochowa defence strength 1.105
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58