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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Friday 12 February 2027

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Friday 12 February 2027. FC OSS vs Jong AZ sits top on 87% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 60%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies seven of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
– : – 19:00
Jong AZ
Win 48%
Draw 18%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 87% BTTS Yes 83%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
– : – 19:00
Heracles
Win 35%
Draw 21%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 74%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dijon
– : – 19:00
Grenoble
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
– : – 19:00
FC Volendam
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
– : – 19:00
Emmen
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
– : – 19:00
Jong Utrecht
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
VVV Venlo
– : – 19:00
Vitesse
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
– : – 19:00
Dordrecht
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Friday 12 February 2027?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by FC OSS vs Jong AZ at 87% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.