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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Tuesday 9 February 2027

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures clear the bar on Tuesday 9 February 2027. Stockport County vs Luton sits top on 85% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies four of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Stockport County
: 19:45
Luton
Win 48%
Draw 20%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 85% BTTS Yes 83%
#2 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
: 19:45
Bromley
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 75%
#3 League Two Β· England
York
: 19:45
Cheltenham
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
: 19:45
Wycombe
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#5 League One Β· England
Plymouth
: 19:45
Leicester
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#6 League Two Β· England
Rotherham
: 19:45
Tranmere
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 League Two Β· England
Newport County
: 19:45
Salford City
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
: 19:45
Accrington ST
Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Tuesday 9 February 2027?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Stockport County vs Luton at 85% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.