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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 31 May 2026

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 31 May 2026. Gent vs Genk sits top on 69% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 69% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the over 2.5 goals market — 29%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
0 : 0 FT
Genk
Win 47%
Draw 22%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
0 : 3 FT
U. Catolica
Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
4 : 5 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
0 : 2 FT
United Nordic
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 1 FT
Yunnan Yukun
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
1 : 0 FT
Cavalry FC
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
Dalian Zhixing
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Sunday 31 May 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Gent vs Genk at 69% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.