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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Wednesday 19 June 2024

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Four fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 19 June 2024. The strongest reading belongs to VPS vs AC Oulu at 79% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Veikkausliiga supplies three of the top 4, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the over 2.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
1 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
2 : 2 FT
SJK
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Haka
0 : 0 FT
Inter Turku
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
1 : 2 FT
Criciuma
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 4 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Wednesday 19 June 2024?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by VPS vs AC Oulu at 79% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.