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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 27 January 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 27 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo at 94% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 72%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the over 1.5 goals market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
1 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 33%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 80%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
1 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
5 : 4 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fayha
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
0 : 2 FT
Dunkerque
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
AVS
1 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
1 : 1 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 10 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 27 January 2025?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Jong PSV U21 vs VVV Venlo at 94% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.