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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 25 December 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 25 December 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Adana Demirspor vs Fatih Karagümrük at 83% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 70%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies six of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Adana Demirspor
2 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
0 : 2 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 8%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 77%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
1 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1 : 2 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
0 : 1 FT
Ajman
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Adalah
0 : 2 FT
Abha
Win 25%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 0 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 25 December 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Adana Demirspor vs Fatih Karagümrük at 83% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.