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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 24 December 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Five fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 24 December 2022. Al-Jazira vs Al-Dhafra sits top on 89% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 73%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Süper Lig supplies three of the top 5, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
3 : 2 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
1 : 1 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 46%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
1 : 1 FT
Giresunspor
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
2 : 0 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 2 FT
Sivasspor
Win 33%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 5 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 24 December 2022?

five fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Jazira vs Al-Dhafra at 89% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.