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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 27 December 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Tuesday 27 December 2022. Wuhan Three Towns vs Hangzhou Greentown led the list at 90% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 74%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
2 : 0 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
2 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 56% ✓ Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ankaragücü
1 : 2 FT
Ümraniyespor
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
1 : 4 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 26%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
3 : 3 FT
Antwerp
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fenerbahçe
4 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
3 : 1 FT
Wuhan Zall
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#10 Championship Β· England
Reading
2 : 1 FT
Swansea
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
3 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Manchester United Clean Sheet 61%
#12 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
0 : 3 FT
Dalian Aerbin
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
#13 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
0 : 3 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
3 : 0 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%

Showing top 14 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 27 December 2022?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wuhan Three Towns vs Hangzhou Greentown at 90% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.