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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 25 February 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 25 February 2022. Excelsior vs Roda sits top on 89% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 73%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 84%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 36%
Draw 22%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 3 FT
Charleroi
Win 28%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
2 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
4 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Levante
3 : 0 FT
Elche
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
3 : 3 FT
Erzgebirge AUE
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Waalwijk
1 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 29%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 1 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Minai
– : – CANC
Zorya Luhansk
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
2 : 1 FT
SK Beveren
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
0 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
1 : 1 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
0 : 0 FT
Finn Harps
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
3 : 2 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#18 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
0 : 3 FT
Ajman
Win 36%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 36%
BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 34%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 25 February 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Excelsior vs Roda at 89% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.