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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 9 August 2020

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 9 August 2020. Aalesund vs Viking sits top on 86% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 71%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Allsvenskan supplies five of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the over 1.5 goals market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
2 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 41%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
0 : 1 FT
Malmo FF
Win 15%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 62%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
3 : 2 FT
Start
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
3 : 4 FT
Sandefjord
Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
0 : 2 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 73%
Draw 20%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57% BK Hacken Clean Sheet 54%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
0 : 1 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 19%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
3 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
5 : 1 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 9 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 9 August 2020?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Aalesund vs Viking at 86% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.