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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Sunday 1 November 2026

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 1 November 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau at 85% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 60%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Süper Lig supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the one-sided market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
5 : 1 FT
Austria Lustenau
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 11%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Amed
5 : 1 FT
Eyüpspor
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 11%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 71%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
2 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
2 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Arezzo
0 : 0 FT
Ascoli
Win 9%
Draw 19%
Win 72%
Over 2.5 61%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
5 : 2 FT
RAAL La Louvière
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
2 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
5 : 2 FT
Samsunspor
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Lugano
2 : 1 FT
FC Basel 1893
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
1 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Como
1 : 0 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
2 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 2 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
AEK Athens FC
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
3 : 5 FT
FC Zurich
Win 61%
Draw 17%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
0 : 9 FT
Twente
Win 18%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 16 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Sunday 1 November 2026?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau at 85% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.