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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Saturday 31 October 2026

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 31 October 2026. The strongest reading belongs to PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II at 85% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 60%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the one-sided market — 81%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
7 : 0 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
3 : 1 FT
Wisla Krakow
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
3 : 0 FT
Francs Borains
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden
United Nordic
4 : 2 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 League One Β· England
Stockport County
2 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
4 : 0 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
2 : 5 FT
AS Roma
Win 13%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 66%
BTTS No 55%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
2 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
2 : 0 FT
Preston
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
1 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 62% Standard Liege Clean Sheet 53%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
6 : 1 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
2 : 1 FT
Malaga
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 20%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Championship Β· England
Middlesbrough
3 : 0 FT
Charlton
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 4 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
2 : 0 FT
Akhmat
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%

Showing top 16 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Saturday 31 October 2026?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II at 85% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.