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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Wed 11 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

Goffertstadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

NEC Nijmegen Win

62%

NEC Nijmegen

1.62

19%

Draw

5.14

19%

Utrecht

5.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.5%

Draw

2 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.27

NEC Nijmegen xG

Total xG

3.46

1.18

Utrecht xG

62%
19%
19%
NEC NijmegenDrawUtrecht

1.62

62%

Home win

5.14

19%

Draw

5.34

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

31%

NEC Nijmegen

3.27

10%

Utrecht

9.71

Win to Nil

19%

NEC Nijmegen

5.28

2%

Utrecht

51.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 3.7 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 7.2 8.5 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
2 8.1 9.6 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 6.2 7.3 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.5 4.2 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.273
λ Away (xG) 1.184
Total xG 3.457
League avg home goals 1.639
League avg away goals 1.435
NEC Nijmegen attack strength 1.341
NEC Nijmegen defence strength 0.958
Utrecht attack strength 0.861
Utrecht defence strength 1.035
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55