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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Quarter-finals

Kick-off

Tue 5 May 2026

17:45

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

35%

Waalwijk

2.90

23%

Draw

4.36

43%

Willem II

2.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

2 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

3.30

1.74

Willem II xG

35%
23%
43%
WaalwijkDrawWillem II

2.90

35%

Home win

4.36

23%

Draw

2.35

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.86

Clean Sheet

17%

Waalwijk

5.71

21%

Willem II

4.73

Win to Nil

6%

Waalwijk

16.54

9%

Willem II

11.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 6.5 5.6 3.3 1.4 0.5
1 5.8 10.0 8.7 5.1 2.2 0.8
2 4.5 7.8 6.8 3.9 1.7 0.6
3 2.3 4.0 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.3
4 0.9 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.553
λ Away (xG) 1.743
Total xG 3.296
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.421
Waalwijk attack strength 1.202
Waalwijk defence strength 1.027
Willem II attack strength 1.194
Willem II defence strength 0.786
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38