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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 20 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

46%

Jong Ajax

2.18

20%

Draw

5.06

34%

Almere City FC

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

1 – 1

6.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.29

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

4.27

1.98

Almere City FC xG

46%
20%
34%
Jong AjaxDrawAlmere City FC

2.18

46%

Home win

5.06

20%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

80%

Over 2.5

1.25

20%

Under 2.5

5.00

62%

Over 3.5

1.61

38%

Under 3.5

2.63

42%

Over 4.5

2.38

58%

Under 4.5

1.72

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

77%

BTTS Yes

1.29

23%

BTTS No

4.44

Clean Sheet

14%

Jong Ajax

7.24

10%

Almere City FC

9.88

Win to Nil

6%

Jong Ajax

15.75

3%

Almere City FC

28.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.4 2.8 2.7 1.8 0.9 0.4
1 3.2 6.3 6.3 4.1 2.0 0.8
2 3.7 7.3 7.2 4.7 2.3 0.9
3 2.8 5.5 5.5 3.6 1.8 0.7
4 1.6 3.2 3.1 2.1 1.0 0.4
5 0.7 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.291
λ Away (xG) 1.979
Total xG 4.270
League avg home goals 1.560
League avg away goals 1.448
Jong Ajax attack strength 1.165
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.075
Almere City FC attack strength 1.270
Almere City FC defence strength 1.261
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 32