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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 24 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

M-Scores Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

25%

Dordrecht

4.04

25%

Draw

4.05

51%

Willem II

1.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Dordrecht xG

Total xG

2.69

1.63

Willem II xG

25%
25%
51%
DordrechtDrawWillem II

4.04

25%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

1.98

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.90

48%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

20%

Dordrecht

5.08

35%

Willem II

2.89

Win to Nil

5%

Dordrecht

20.53

18%

Willem II

5.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 11.1 9.0 4.9 2.0 0.6
1 7.2 11.7 9.5 5.2 2.1 0.7
2 3.8 6.2 5.1 2.7 1.1 0.4
3 1.4 2.2 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.060
λ Away (xG) 1.626
Total xG 2.686
League avg home goals 1.641
League avg away goals 1.448
Dordrecht attack strength 0.838
Dordrecht defence strength 0.960
Willem II attack strength 1.169
Willem II defence strength 0.771
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 37