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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Picco

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Frosinone Win

23%

Spezia

4.31

28%

Draw

3.63

49%

Frosinone

2.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Spezia xG

Total xG

2.41

1.48

Frosinone xG

23%
28%
49%
SpeziaDrawFrosinone

4.31

23%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

2.03

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

23%

Spezia

4.38

39%

Frosinone

2.54

Win to Nil

5%

Spezia

18.88

19%

Frosinone

5.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 13.3 9.8 4.8 1.8 0.5
1 8.4 12.4 9.1 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 3.9 5.8 4.3 2.1 0.8 0.2
3 1.2 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.932
λ Away (xG) 1.477
Total xG 2.409
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 1.052
Spezia attack strength 0.802
Spezia defence strength 1.081
Frosinone attack strength 1.299
Frosinone defence strength 0.910
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62