Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Fri 1 May 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

55%

Modena

1.83

30%

Draw

3.32

15%

Reggiana

6.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Modena xG

Total xG

2.25

0.72

Reggiana xG

55%
30%
15%
ModenaDrawReggiana

1.83

55%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

6.55

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

49%

Modena

2.05

22%

Reggiana

4.63

Win to Nil

27%

Modena

3.76

3%

Reggiana

30.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 7.6 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 16.1 11.6 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 12.4 8.9 3.2 0.8 0.1
3 6.3 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 2.4 1.7 0.6 0.1
5 0.7 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.532
λ Away (xG) 0.719
Total xG 2.251
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.084
Modena attack strength 0.947
Modena defence strength 0.959
Reggiana attack strength 0.692
Reggiana defence strength 1.175
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74