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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

26%

Sassuolo

3.91

23%

Draw

4.33

51%

Bologna

1.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Sassuolo xG

Total xG

3.02

1.80

Bologna xG

26%
23%
51%
SassuoloDrawBologna

3.91

26%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

1.95

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

16%

Sassuolo

6.08

30%

Bologna

3.36

Win to Nil

4%

Sassuolo

23.76

15%

Bologna

6.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 8.8 8.0 4.8 2.2 0.8
1 5.9 10.7 9.7 5.8 2.6 0.9
2 3.6 6.5 5.9 3.5 1.6 0.6
3 1.5 2.6 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.211
λ Away (xG) 1.805
Total xG 3.016
League avg home goals 1.279
League avg away goals 1.177
Sassuolo attack strength 0.921
Sassuolo defence strength 1.271
Bologna attack strength 1.207
Bologna defence strength 1.027
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 66