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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

11:30

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

39%

Bologna

2.55

28%

Draw

3.52

32%

Cagliari

3.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.32

1.09

Cagliari xG

39%
28%
32%
BolognaDrawCagliari

2.55

39%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

3.09

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

34%

Bologna

2.97

29%

Cagliari

3.41

Win to Nil

13%

Bologna

7.58

9%

Cagliari

10.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 10.7 5.8 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 12.1 13.2 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.4 8.1 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.0 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.228
λ Away (xG) 1.089
Total xG 2.317
League avg home goals 1.244
League avg away goals 1.126
Bologna attack strength 0.755
Bologna defence strength 1.144
Cagliari attack strength 0.846
Cagliari defence strength 1.308
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72