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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

33%

Bologna

3.06

27%

Draw

3.71

40%

AS Roma

2.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.49

1.32

AS Roma xG

33%
27%
40%
BolognaDrawAS Roma

3.06

33%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

2.48

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

27%

Bologna

3.76

31%

AS Roma

3.20

Win to Nil

9%

Bologna

11.49

13%

AS Roma

7.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 11.0 7.3 3.2 1.1 0.3
1 9.7 12.8 8.5 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.6 7.5 4.9 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.2 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.164
λ Away (xG) 1.324
Total xG 2.488
League avg home goals 1.263
League avg away goals 1.138
Bologna attack strength 0.824
Bologna defence strength 1.098
AS Roma attack strength 1.060
AS Roma defence strength 1.119
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71