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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Tue 3 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

19%

Bologna

5.25

25%

Draw

4.01

56%

AC Milan

1.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

0 – 2

11.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.82

Bologna xG

Total xG

2.42

1.60

AC Milan xG

19%
25%
56%
BolognaDrawAC Milan

5.25

19%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

1.79

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

20%

Bologna

4.98

44%

AC Milan

2.27

Win to Nil

4%

Bologna

26.12

25%

AC Milan

4.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 14.2 11.4 6.1 2.4 0.8
1 7.3 11.6 9.3 5.0 2.0 0.6
2 3.0 4.8 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.3
3 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.819
λ Away (xG) 1.605
Total xG 2.424
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 1.158
Bologna attack strength 0.863
Bologna defence strength 1.067
AC Milan attack strength 1.298
AC Milan defence strength 0.760
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60