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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 14 February 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Eleven matches clear our threshold on Sunday 14 February 2027. Benfica vs Maritimo tops the list at 75% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 57%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
– : – 16:00
Maritimo
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 65%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
– : – 16:00
Athletic Club
Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 57%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
– : – 12:00
Başakşehir
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
– : – 17:30
Parma
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
– : – 16:00
Estoril
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Levante
– : – 16:00
Malaga
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
– : – 16:00
PEC Zwolle
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
– : – 12:30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Racing Santander
– : – 16:00
Getafe
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 53%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy
Frosinone
– : – 17:30
Fiorentina
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 73%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
– : – 12:30
Holstein Kiel
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%

Showing top 11 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 14 February 2027?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Benfica vs Maritimo at 75% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.