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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Sunday 18 October 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

14 fixtures clear the bar on Sunday 18 October 2026. Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach sits top on 72% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
: 12:30
SCR Altach
Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#2 Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
: 15:00
Start
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz
: 15:00
Grazer AK
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
BTTS No 56%
#4 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
: 15:00
KFUM Oslo
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 55%
#5 Premier League · England
Brighton
: 13:00
Crystal Palace
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
: 15:00
Sevilla
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
: 10:15
FC Volendam
Win 63%
Draw 16%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 79%
#8 La Liga · Spain
Villarreal
: 15:00
Elche
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Eliteserien · Norway
Viking
: 15:00
Fredrikstad
Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 K League 1 · South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
: 05:00
Gwangju FC
Win 60%
Draw 28%
Win 13%
#11 Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm
: 13:00
IFK Goteborg
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#12 Serie A · Brazil
Botafogo
: 20:00
Chapecoense-sc
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
: 12:00
Alanyaspor
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#14 Ligue 1 · France
Lyon
: 18:45
Nice
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 14 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 18 October 2026?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach at 72% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.