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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 12 September 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Saturday 12 September 2026. SCR Altach vs Grazer AK led the list at 75% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the home win market — 61%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
1 : 2 FT
Grazer AK
Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 League One Β· England
Blackpool
2 : 2 FT
Bromley
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Freiburg
5 : 0 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
2 : 0 FT
ADO Den Haag
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
5 : 3 FT
Tromso
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
#8 League Two Β· England
Barnet
2 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Championship Β· England
Swansea
3 : 1 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 29%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#10 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
1 : 0 FT
Shenyang Urban
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
3 : 2 FT
Rasi Salai United
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Samsunspor
1 : 5 FT
Çorum FK
Win 57%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 31%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64% LNZ Cherkasy Clean Sheet 57%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
1 : 2 FT
Vasco DA Gama
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
#15 League Two Β· England
Walsall
0 : 0 FT
Rochdale
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
1 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 56%
Draw 19%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#17 Championship Β· England
Southampton
4 : 1 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Uthai Thani
1 : 2 FT
Pattani
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 19%

Showing top 18 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 12 September 2026?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by SCR Altach vs Grazer AK at 75% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.