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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 13 September 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 13 September 2026. Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna sits top on 78% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Allsvenskan supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the home win market — 92%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF
3 : 1 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAOK
2 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
8 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 15%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 76%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
4 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 18%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
1 : 1 FT
Concepción
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 55%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
1 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
4 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
5 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
3 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FT
FC Rostov
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Mantova
2 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 12 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 13 September 2026?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Hammarby FF vs IF Brommapojkarna at 78% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.