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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 2 August 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 2 August 2026. The strongest reading belongs to AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS at 68% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the home win market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm
0 : 3 FT
Orgryte IS
Win 68%
Draw 23%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#2 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
2 : 0 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
3 : 2 FT
Fakel
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 57%
Draw 30%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
GKS Katowice
3 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
3 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Chile
2 : 0 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 7 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 2 August 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by AIK Stockholm vs Orgryte IS at 68% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.