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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 30 November 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Sunday 30 November 2025. Viking vs Valerenga sits top on 77% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the home win market — 58%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
5 : 1 FT
Valerenga
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
1 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
1 : 0 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Aston Villa Clean Sheet 54%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
1 : 0 FT
Rubin
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
1 : 2 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
4 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar
5 : 0 FT
Krylia Sovetov
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
2 : 4 FT
Pardubice
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
0 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 62% Club Brugge KV Clean Sheet 53%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 2 FT
Utrecht
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
5 : 0 FT
Fredrikstad
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%

Showing top 12 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 30 November 2025?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Valerenga at 77% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.