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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 22 November 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 22 November 2025. BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur sits top on 75% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 61%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the home win market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
5 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
6 : 2 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
BTTS No 57%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
2 : 1 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
3 : 0 CANC
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 League One Β· England
Stevenage
0 : 0 FT
Doncaster
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Stevenage Clean Sheet 54%
#6 Championship Β· England
Coventry
3 : 2 FT
West Brom
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
BTTS No 55%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Fateh
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
5 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
1 : 0 FT
Strasbourg
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
1 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
0 : 3 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#12 League Two Β· England
Fleetwood Town
3 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
2 : 1 FT
Nancy
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
2 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 56%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 0 FT
Cercle Brugge
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
1 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 11%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
4 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
1 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
3 : 2 FT
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#20 League One Β· England
Bolton
0 : 0 FT
Bradford
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 22 November 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by BSC Young Boys vs FC Winterthur at 75% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.