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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Friday 24 November 2023

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Friday 24 November 2023. Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Braunschweig led the list at 79% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the home win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
2 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 16%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 62% Hamburger SV Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 1 FT
Nakhon Pathom
Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
1 : 2 FT
Al Riyadh
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
2 : 2 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
0 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
0 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
5 : 2 FT
Monaco
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
3 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 10 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Friday 24 November 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Braunschweig at 79% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.