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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 24 September 2023

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 24 September 2023. Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kifisia led the list at 83% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the home win market — 77%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 : 0 FT
Kifisia
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 14%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 57% ✓ Olympiakos Piraeus Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
4 : 3 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Atalanta
2 : 0 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 1 FT
Gornik Zabrze
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
1 : 2 FT
Liège
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
4 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
6 : 2 FT
Pardubice
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
Utsikten
2 : 3 FT
Trelleborg
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
3 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Holstein Kiel
2 : 3 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
4 : 3 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
#13 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
3 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

Showing top 13 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 24 September 2023?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympiakos Piraeus vs Kifisia at 83% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.