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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 12 March 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Saturday 12 March 2022. Amiens vs Nancy led the list at 75% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the home win market — 82%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
1 : 0 FT
Nancy
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
– : – CANC
Minai
Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 53%
#3 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
6 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
1 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58%
#5 League One Β· England
Sunderland
2 : 0 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
– : – CANC
FC Kharkiv
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Benevento
3 : 1 FT
Crotone
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#8 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
0 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 56%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
0 : 3 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
3 : 0 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
3 : 1 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#13 Championship Β· England
Nottingham Forest
4 : 0 FT
Reading
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
2 : 0 FT
Niort
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#15 Championship Β· England
Bournemouth
2 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#16 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
0 : 1 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
4 : 2 FT
Göztepe
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
1 : 0 FT
Celta Vigo
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Monza
4 : 0 FT
Vicenza Virtus
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 19 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 12 March 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Amiens vs Nancy at 75% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.