Sign in Register
🏠

Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 19 February 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 19 February 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Derby vs Peterborough at 77% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the home win market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Derby
1 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 63%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
3 : 1 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 58% Liverpool Clean Sheet 54%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
3 : 0 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 1 FT
Al Urooba
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
2 : 3 FT
Tottenham
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Brentford
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#7 League Two Β· England
Forest Green
0 : 1 FT
Walsall
Win 62%
Draw 28%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 67% Forest Green Clean Sheet 61%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
2 : 2 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%
#10 League One Β· England
Bolton
4 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Premier League Β· England
Southampton
2 : 0 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#12 Championship Β· England
Fulham
1 : 2 FT
Huddersfield
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
GIL Vicente
2 : 0 FT
Belenenses
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
4 : 0 FT
Swansea
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 54%
#15 Championship Β· England
Stoke City
2 : 2 FT
Birmingham
Win 55%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Ried
3 : 2 FT
WSG Wattens
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 16 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 19 February 2022?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Derby vs Peterborough at 77% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.