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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Championship Group - 5

Kick-off

Wed 13 May 2026

17:30

Venue

Toumba Stadium

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAOK Win

48%

PAOK

2.07

30%

Draw

3.34

22%

AEK Athens FC

4.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

PAOK xG

Total xG

2.45

0.94

AEK Athens FC xG

48%
30%
22%
PAOKDrawAEK Athens FC

2.07

48%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

4.61

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

39%

PAOK

2.57

22%

AEK Athens FC

4.51

Win to Nil

19%

PAOK

5.31

5%

AEK Athens FC

20.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 8.1 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.0 12.3 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.2 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.9 4.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.507
λ Away (xG) 0.943
Total xG 2.450
League avg home goals 1.305
League avg away goals 1.066
PAOK attack strength 1.300
PAOK defence strength 0.673
AEK Athens FC attack strength 1.316
AEK Athens FC defence strength 0.888
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52