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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

17:30

Venue

Toumba Stadium

Competition

Super League 1

Greece

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAOK Win

42%

PAOK

2.40

26%

Draw

3.78

32%

AEK Athens FC

3.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

PAOK xG

Total xG

2.56

1.18

AEK Athens FC xG

42%
26%
32%
PAOKDrawAEK Athens FC

2.40

42%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

3.14

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

31%

PAOK

3.24

25%

AEK Athens FC

4.00

Win to Nil

13%

PAOK

7.77

8%

AEK Athens FC

12.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.1 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 10.7 12.6 7.4 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 8.7 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.4 4.0 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.387
λ Away (xG) 1.176
Total xG 2.563
League avg home goals 1.367
League avg away goals 1.150
PAOK attack strength 1.412
PAOK defence strength 0.712
AEK Athens FC attack strength 1.438
AEK Athens FC defence strength 0.719
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 46