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Goal Fest Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted expected total goals — Friday 12 February 2027

Our prediction model calculates the expected number of goals each team is likely to score based on historical attack and defence strengths. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score markets.

13 fixtures clear the bar on Friday 12 February 2027. The strongest reading belongs to FC OSS vs Jong AZ at 4.90 in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 4.90 down to 2.53, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies eight of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
– : – 19:00
Jong AZ
Win 48%
Draw 18%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 87% BTTS Yes 83%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Waalwijk
– : – 19:00
Heracles
Win 35%
Draw 21%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 75%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Dijon
– : – 19:00
Grenoble
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
– : – 19:00
FC Volendam
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
– : – 19:00
Emmen
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
– : – 19:00
Jong Utrecht
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
– : – 19:00
Vitesse
Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
– : – 19:00
Dordrecht
Win 49%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Saint Etienne
– : – 19:00
Metz
Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 58%
#10 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
– : – 19:00
Den Bosch
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
– : – 12:00
Pattani
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
– : – 19:00
Guingamp
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Nancy
– : – 19:00
RED Star FC 93
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 13 fixtures by combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Goal Fest — common questions

What does the Goal Fest market mean?

Goal Fest settles on whether a match is expected to produce a high combined goal count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate goal fest probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The combined expected goals shown here is the sum of both teams' expected goals, derived from their attack and defence strengths. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Goal Fest on Friday 12 February 2027?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC OSS vs Jong AZ at 4.90 combined expected goals.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest combined expected goals of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these goal fest predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.